Cshg Atrium (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 47.21
| ATSA11 Fund | 50.00 1.00 1.96% |
Cshg |
Cshg Atrium Target Price Odds to finish below 47.21
The tendency of Cshg Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 47.21 or more in 90 days |
| 50.00 | 90 days | 47.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cshg Atrium to drop to 47.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cshg Atrium Shopping probability density function shows the probability of Cshg Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cshg Atrium Shopping price to stay between 47.21 and its current price of 50.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cshg Atrium Shopping has a beta of -0.51. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cshg Atrium are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cshg Atrium Shopping is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cshg Atrium Shopping has an alpha of 0.0331, implying that it can generate a 0.0331 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cshg Atrium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cshg Atrium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cshg Atrium Shopping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cshg Atrium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cshg Atrium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cshg Atrium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cshg Atrium Shopping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cshg Atrium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Cshg Atrium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cshg Atrium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cshg Atrium Shopping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cshg Atrium Shopping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Cshg Atrium Technical Analysis
Cshg Atrium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cshg Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cshg Atrium Shopping. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cshg Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cshg Atrium Predictive Forecast Models
Cshg Atrium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cshg Atrium's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cshg Atrium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cshg Atrium Shopping
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cshg Atrium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cshg Atrium Shopping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cshg Atrium Shopping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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