Cshg Atrium Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

ATSA11 Fund   48.00  0.42  0.87%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cshg Atrium Shopping on the next trading day is expected to be 50.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.65. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Cshg Atrium's fund prices and determine the direction of Cshg Atrium Shopping's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Cshg Atrium price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Cshg Atrium Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cshg Atrium Shopping on the next trading day is expected to be 50.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cshg Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cshg Atrium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cshg Atrium Fund Forecast Pattern

Cshg Atrium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cshg Atrium's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cshg Atrium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.91 and 51.34, respectively. We have considered Cshg Atrium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.00
50.12
Expected Value
51.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cshg Atrium fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cshg Atrium fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3741
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9137
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors56.6524
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Cshg Atrium Shopping historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Cshg Atrium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cshg Atrium Shopping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Cshg Atrium

For every potential investor in Cshg, whether a beginner or expert, Cshg Atrium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cshg Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cshg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cshg Atrium's price trends.

Cshg Atrium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cshg Atrium fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cshg Atrium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cshg Atrium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cshg Atrium Shopping Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cshg Atrium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cshg Atrium's current price.

Cshg Atrium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cshg Atrium fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cshg Atrium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cshg Atrium fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Cshg Atrium Shopping entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cshg Atrium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cshg Atrium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cshg Atrium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cshg fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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