Agro Tech (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 980.65
| ATFL Stock | 879.15 10.75 1.21% |
Agro |
Agro Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 980.65
The tendency of Agro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 980.65 after 90 days |
| 879.15 | 90 days | 980.65 | about 82.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agro Tech to stay under 980.65 after 90 days from now is about 82.27 (This Agro Tech Foods probability density function shows the probability of Agro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agro Tech Foods price to stay between its current price of 879.15 and 980.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Agro Tech will likely underperform. Additionally Agro Tech Foods has an alpha of 0.1, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Agro Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agro Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agro Tech Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agro Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agro Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agro Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agro Tech Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agro Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 64.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Agro Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agro Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agro Tech Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agro Tech Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Agro Tech Foods and Vindhya Telelinks among top 8 unique stocks held by mutual funds in November - The Economic Times |
Agro Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agro Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agro Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 129.8 M |
Agro Tech Technical Analysis
Agro Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agro Tech Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agro Tech Predictive Forecast Models
Agro Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agro Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agro Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agro Tech Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agro Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agro Tech Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agro Tech Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Agro Tech Foods and Vindhya Telelinks among top 8 unique stocks held by mutual funds in November - The Economic Times |
Additional Tools for Agro Stock Analysis
When running Agro Tech's price analysis, check to measure Agro Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agro Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Agro Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agro Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agro Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agro Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.