Atenor SA (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.49
| ATEB Stock | EUR 3.52 0.07 2.03% |
Atenor |
Atenor SA Target Price Odds to finish below 3.49
The tendency of Atenor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.49 or more in 90 days |
| 3.52 | 90 days | 3.49 | nearly 4.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atenor SA to drop to € 3.49 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.34 (This Atenor SA probability density function shows the probability of Atenor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atenor SA price to stay between € 3.49 and its current price of €3.52 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atenor SA has a beta of 0.062. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atenor SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atenor SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atenor SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atenor SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atenor SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atenor SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atenor SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atenor SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atenor SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atenor SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atenor SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Atenor SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atenor SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atenor SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atenor SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atenor SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Atenor SA has accumulated about 110.21 M in cash with (215.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Atenor SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atenor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atenor SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atenor SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.4 M |
Atenor SA Technical Analysis
Atenor SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atenor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atenor SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atenor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atenor SA Predictive Forecast Models
Atenor SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atenor SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atenor SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atenor SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atenor SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atenor SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atenor SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atenor SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Atenor SA has accumulated about 110.21 M in cash with (215.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 20.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Atenor Stock Analysis
When running Atenor SA's price analysis, check to measure Atenor SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atenor SA is operating at the current time. Most of Atenor SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atenor SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atenor SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atenor SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.