ASN Broker (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.57

ASN Stock  THB 1.79  0.01  0.56%   
ASN Broker's future price is the expected price of ASN Broker instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASN Broker Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASN Broker Backtesting, ASN Broker Valuation, ASN Broker Correlation, ASN Broker Hype Analysis, ASN Broker Volatility, ASN Broker History as well as ASN Broker Performance.
  
Please specify ASN Broker's target price for which you would like ASN Broker odds to be computed.

ASN Broker Target Price Odds to finish below 1.57

The tendency of ASN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.57  or more in 90 days
 1.79 90 days 1.57 
about 17.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASN Broker to drop to  1.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.33 (This ASN Broker Public probability density function shows the probability of ASN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASN Broker Public price to stay between  1.57  and its current price of 1.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASN Broker has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ASN Broker average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ASN Broker Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ASN Broker Public has an alpha of 0.3585, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ASN Broker Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASN Broker

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASN Broker Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.797.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.817.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.617.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.661.771.87
Details

ASN Broker Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASN Broker is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASN Broker's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASN Broker Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASN Broker within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

ASN Broker Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASN Broker for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASN Broker Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASN Broker Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ASN Broker Public may become a speculative penny stock
ASN Broker Public has accumulated about 43.61 M in cash with (92.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.34.
Roughly 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ASN Broker Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASN Broker's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASN Broker's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.2 M

ASN Broker Technical Analysis

ASN Broker's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASN Broker Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASN Broker Predictive Forecast Models

ASN Broker's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASN Broker's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASN Broker's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASN Broker Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASN Broker for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASN Broker Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASN Broker Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
ASN Broker Public may become a speculative penny stock
ASN Broker Public has accumulated about 43.61 M in cash with (92.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.34.
Roughly 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ASN Stock

ASN Broker financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASN with respect to the benefits of owning ASN Broker security.