Aersale Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.1
| ASLE Stock | USD 6.20 0.09 1.43% |
Closest to current price AerSale long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
AerSale |
AerSale Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 6.1
The tendency of AerSale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.10 or more in 90 days |
| 6.20 | 90 days | 6.10 | about 87.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AerSale Corp to drop to $ 6.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.43 (This AerSale Corp probability density function shows the probability of AerSale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AerSale Corp price to stay between $ 6.10 and its current price of $6.2 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AerSale Corp will likely underperform. Additionally AerSale Corp has an alpha of 0.1672, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AerSale Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AerSale Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AerSale Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AerSale Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AerSale Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AerSale Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AerSale Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AerSale Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
AerSale Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AerSale Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AerSale Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 334.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 152.25 M. | |
| AerSale Corp currently holds about 200.45 M in cash with (174.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.88. | |
| AerSale Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hotchkis Wiley Capital Management LLC Decreases Stock Holdings in AerSale Co. - MarketBeat |
AerSale Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AerSale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AerSale Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AerSale Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
AerSale Corp Technical Analysis
AerSale Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AerSale Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AerSale Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing AerSale Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AerSale Corp Predictive Forecast Models
AerSale Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many AerSale Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AerSale Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AerSale Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about AerSale Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AerSale Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 334.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 152.25 M. | |
| AerSale Corp currently holds about 200.45 M in cash with (174.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.88. | |
| AerSale Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hotchkis Wiley Capital Management LLC Decreases Stock Holdings in AerSale Co. - MarketBeat |
Check out AerSale Corp Backtesting, AerSale Corp Valuation, AerSale Corp Correlation, AerSale Corp Hype Analysis, AerSale Corp Volatility, AerSale Corp History as well as AerSale Corp Performance. For information on how to trade AerSale Stock refer to our How to Trade AerSale Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AerSale Corp. If investors know AerSale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AerSale Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.3 K | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share 6.547 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets 0.0041 |
The market value of AerSale Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AerSale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AerSale Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AerSale Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AerSale Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AerSale Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AerSale Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AerSale Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AerSale Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.