Asian Hotels (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 153.46
| ASIANHOTNR | 263.69 23.97 10.00% |
Asian |
Asian Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 153.46
The tendency of Asian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 153.46 in 90 days |
| 263.69 | 90 days | 153.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asian Hotels to stay above 153.46 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Asian Hotels Limited probability density function shows the probability of Asian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asian Hotels Limited price to stay between 153.46 and its current price of 263.69 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asian Hotels has a beta of 0.95. This suggests Asian Hotels Limited market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Asian Hotels is expected to follow. Additionally Asian Hotels Limited has an alpha of 0.6764, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Asian Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asian Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asian Hotels Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asian Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asian Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asian Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asian Hotels Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asian Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Asian Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asian Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asian Hotels Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asian Hotels Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.98 B. Net Loss for the year was (874.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.58 B. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Asian Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asian Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asian Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 541.8 M |
Asian Hotels Technical Analysis
Asian Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asian Hotels Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asian Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Asian Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asian Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asian Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asian Hotels Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asian Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asian Hotels Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asian Hotels Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.98 B. Net Loss for the year was (874.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.58 B. | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asian Stock
Asian Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asian with respect to the benefits of owning Asian Hotels security.