Airport City (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5402.0

ARPT Stock  ILS 6,141  34.00  0.55%   
Airport City's future price is the expected price of Airport City instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Airport City performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Airport City Backtesting, Airport City Valuation, Airport City Correlation, Airport City Hype Analysis, Airport City Volatility, Airport City History as well as Airport City Performance.
  
Please specify Airport City's target price for which you would like Airport City odds to be computed.

Airport City Target Price Odds to finish below 5402.0

The tendency of Airport Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 5,402  or more in 90 days
 6,141 90 days 5,402 
about 20.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Airport City to drop to S 5,402  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.72 (This Airport City probability density function shows the probability of Airport Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Airport City price to stay between S 5,402  and its current price of S6141.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Airport City has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Airport City are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Airport City is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Airport City has an alpha of 0.1555, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Airport City Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Airport City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airport City. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,1396,1416,143
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9794,9816,755
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,2716,2736,274
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,7886,0676,346
Details

Airport City Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Airport City is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Airport City's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Airport City, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Airport City within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
275.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Airport City Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Airport City for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Airport City can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Airport City has accumulated S4.45 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Airport City Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Airport Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Airport City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airport City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.5 M

Airport City Technical Analysis

Airport City's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Airport Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Airport City. In general, you should focus on analyzing Airport Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Airport City Predictive Forecast Models

Airport City's time-series forecasting models is one of many Airport City's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Airport City's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Airport City

Checking the ongoing alerts about Airport City for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Airport City help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Airport City has accumulated S4.45 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Airport Stock

Airport City financial ratios help investors to determine whether Airport Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Airport with respect to the benefits of owning Airport City security.