Argo Properties (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9886.5
ARGO Stock | 9,960 140.00 1.39% |
Argo |
Argo Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 9886.5
The tendency of Argo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9,886 or more in 90 days |
9,960 | 90 days | 9,886 | about 86.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argo Properties to drop to 9,886 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.75 (This Argo Properties NV probability density function shows the probability of Argo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Argo Properties NV price to stay between 9,886 and its current price of 9960.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Argo Properties has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Argo Properties average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Argo Properties NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Argo Properties NV has an alpha of 0.2226, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Argo Properties Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Argo Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argo Properties NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argo Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argo Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argo Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argo Properties NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argo Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 489.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Argo Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argo Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argo Properties NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Argo Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argo Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argo Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 M |
Argo Properties Technical Analysis
Argo Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argo Properties NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Argo Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Argo Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Argo Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argo Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Argo Properties NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Argo Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argo Properties NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Argo Stock
Argo Properties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argo with respect to the benefits of owning Argo Properties security.