American Rebel Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.007138
| AREBW Stock | USD 0.01 0.0008 8.89% |
American |
American Rebel Target Price Odds to finish below 0.007138
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 5.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Rebel to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.29 (This American Rebel Holdings probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Rebel Holdings price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.0082 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Rebel will likely underperform. Moreover American Rebel Holdings has an alpha of 1.5853, implying that it can generate a 1.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Rebel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Rebel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Rebel Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Rebel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Rebel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Rebel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Rebel Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Rebel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
American Rebel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Rebel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Rebel Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Rebel is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Rebel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Rebel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Rebel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| American Rebel Holdings has accumulated 5.4 M in total debt. American Rebel Holdings has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about American Rebel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 16.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Rebel Holdings has accumulated about 218.33 K in cash with (7.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: American Rebel Holdings, Inc. Receives NASDAQ Notice |
American Rebel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Rebel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Rebel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
American Rebel Technical Analysis
American Rebel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Rebel Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Rebel Predictive Forecast Models
American Rebel's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Rebel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Rebel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Rebel Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Rebel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Rebel Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Rebel is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Rebel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Rebel appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Rebel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| American Rebel Holdings has accumulated 5.4 M in total debt. American Rebel Holdings has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about American Rebel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 16.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Rebel Holdings has accumulated about 218.33 K in cash with (7.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: American Rebel Holdings, Inc. Receives NASDAQ Notice |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Rebel's price analysis, check to measure American Rebel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Rebel is operating at the current time. Most of American Rebel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Rebel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Rebel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Rebel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.