Dogu Aras (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 56.11
| ARASE Stock | 52.20 0.05 0.1% |
Dogu |
Dogu Aras Target Price Odds to finish over 56.11
The tendency of Dogu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 56.11 or more in 90 days |
| 52.20 | 90 days | 56.11 | about 27.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dogu Aras to move over 56.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.35 (This Dogu Aras Enerji probability density function shows the probability of Dogu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dogu Aras Enerji price to stay between its current price of 52.20 and 56.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dogu Aras has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dogu Aras average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dogu Aras Enerji will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dogu Aras Enerji has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dogu Aras Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Dogu Aras
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dogu Aras Enerji. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dogu Aras' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dogu Aras Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dogu Aras is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dogu Aras' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dogu Aras Enerji, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dogu Aras within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Dogu Aras Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dogu Aras for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dogu Aras Enerji can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dogu Aras Enerji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Dogu Aras Technical Analysis
Dogu Aras' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dogu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dogu Aras Enerji. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dogu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dogu Aras Predictive Forecast Models
Dogu Aras' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dogu Aras' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dogu Aras' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dogu Aras Enerji
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dogu Aras for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dogu Aras Enerji help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dogu Aras Enerji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Dogu Stock
Dogu Aras financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dogu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dogu with respect to the benefits of owning Dogu Aras security.