Aptech (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 231.85
| APTECHT Stock | 181.43 3.22 1.74% |
Aptech |
Aptech Target Price Odds to finish over 231.85
The tendency of Aptech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 231.85 or more in 90 days |
| 181.43 | 90 days | 231.85 | about 1.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptech to move over 231.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.83 (This Aptech Limited probability density function shows the probability of Aptech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aptech Limited price to stay between its current price of 181.43 and 231.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aptech will likely underperform. Additionally Aptech Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aptech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aptech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptech Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aptech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptech Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Aptech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptech Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aptech Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aptech Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aptech Limited has accumulated about 350 M in cash with (84.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aptech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aptech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aptech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Aptech Technical Analysis
Aptech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptech Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aptech Predictive Forecast Models
Aptech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aptech Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptech Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aptech Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aptech Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aptech Limited has accumulated about 350 M in cash with (84.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Aptech Stock Analysis
When running Aptech's price analysis, check to measure Aptech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aptech is operating at the current time. Most of Aptech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aptech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aptech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aptech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.