Aptamer Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.28
| APTA Stock | 0.37 0.02 5.71% |
Aptamer |
Aptamer Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.28
The tendency of Aptamer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.28 or more in 90 days |
| 0.37 | 90 days | 0.28 | about 56.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aptamer Group to drop to 0.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.92 (This Aptamer Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Aptamer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aptamer Group PLC price to stay between 0.28 and its current price of 0.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aptamer Group PLC has a beta of -0.52. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aptamer Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aptamer Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aptamer Group PLC has an alpha of 0.9169, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aptamer Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Aptamer Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptamer Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aptamer Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aptamer Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aptamer Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aptamer Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aptamer Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Aptamer Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aptamer Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aptamer Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aptamer Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aptamer Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aptamer Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 860 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M. | |
| Aptamer Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aptamer Groups CSO Increases Stake Signaling Confidence in Future - TipRanks |
Aptamer Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aptamer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aptamer Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aptamer Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 415.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 870 K | |
| Shares Float | 383.1 M |
Aptamer Group Technical Analysis
Aptamer Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aptamer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aptamer Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aptamer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aptamer Group Predictive Forecast Models
Aptamer Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aptamer Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aptamer Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aptamer Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aptamer Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aptamer Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aptamer Group PLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aptamer Group PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aptamer Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 860 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M. | |
| Aptamer Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aptamer Groups CSO Increases Stake Signaling Confidence in Future - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Aptamer Stock Analysis
When running Aptamer Group's price analysis, check to measure Aptamer Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aptamer Group is operating at the current time. Most of Aptamer Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aptamer Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aptamer Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aptamer Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.