Apollo Global Management Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 61.25

APO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 89.98  0.60  0.67%   
Apollo Global's future price is the expected price of Apollo Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apollo Global Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apollo Global Backtesting, Apollo Global Valuation, Apollo Global Correlation, Apollo Global Hype Analysis, Apollo Global Volatility, Apollo Global History as well as Apollo Global Performance.
  
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Apollo Global Target Price Odds to finish over 61.25

The tendency of Apollo Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 61.25  in 90 days
 89.98 90 days 61.25 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Global to stay above $ 61.25  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Apollo Global Management probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apollo Global Management price to stay between $ 61.25  and its current price of $89.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the preferred stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Apollo Global will likely underperform. Additionally Apollo Global Management has an alpha of 0.4348, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Apollo Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apollo Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Global Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.8989.9892.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.98100.58102.67
Details

Apollo Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Global Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.82
σ
Overall volatility
8.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Apollo Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apollo Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apollo Global Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Global has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Apollo Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.91
Float Shares143.19M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day23.42k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19.6k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.27%

Apollo Global Technical Analysis

Apollo Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Global Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apollo Global Predictive Forecast Models

Apollo Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Global's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apollo Global Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apollo Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apollo Global Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Global has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Preferred Stock

Apollo Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Global security.