Australian Potash (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.019
| APC Stock | 0.02 0 17.39% |
Australian |
Australian Potash Target Price Odds to finish below 0.019
The tendency of Australian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Potash to move below current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Australian Potash probability density function shows the probability of Australian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.73 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Australian Potash will likely underperform. Additionally Australian Potash has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Australian Potash Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Potash
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Potash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Potash Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Potash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0069 |
Australian Potash Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Potash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Potash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Australian Potash has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Australian Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Potash has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Australian Potash has accumulated about 25 K in cash with (3.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Potash Limited Expands ASX Quotation - TipRanks |
Australian Potash Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
Australian Potash Technical Analysis
Australian Potash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Potash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Potash Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Potash's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Potash's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Potash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Potash
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Potash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Potash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Australian Potash has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Australian Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Potash has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Australian Potash has accumulated about 25 K in cash with (3.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Potash Limited Expands ASX Quotation - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis
When running Australian Potash's price analysis, check to measure Australian Potash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Potash is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Potash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Potash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Potash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Potash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.