Amdocs (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71.12
| AOS Stock | EUR 83.02 0.00 0.00% |
Amdocs |
Amdocs Target Price Odds to finish below 71.12
The tendency of Amdocs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 71.12 or more in 90 days |
| 83.02 | 90 days | 71.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amdocs to drop to € 71.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amdocs Limited probability density function shows the probability of Amdocs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amdocs Limited price to stay between € 71.12 and its current price of €83.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amdocs has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amdocs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amdocs Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amdocs Limited has an alpha of 0.1395, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amdocs Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amdocs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amdocs Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amdocs Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amdocs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amdocs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amdocs Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amdocs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Amdocs Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amdocs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amdocs Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Amdocs Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amdocs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amdocs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amdocs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122 M |
Amdocs Technical Analysis
Amdocs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amdocs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amdocs Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amdocs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amdocs Predictive Forecast Models
Amdocs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amdocs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amdocs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amdocs Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amdocs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amdocs Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Amdocs Stock
Amdocs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amdocs Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amdocs with respect to the benefits of owning Amdocs security.