Africa Opportunity (UK) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 0.58
| AOF Fund | 0.65 0.00 0.00% |
Africa |
Africa Opportunity Target Price Odds to finish below 0.58
The tendency of Africa Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.58 or more in 90 days |
| 0.65 | 90 days | 0.58 | about 9.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Africa Opportunity to drop to 0.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.74 (This Africa Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Africa Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Africa Opportunity price to stay between 0.58 and its current price of 0.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Africa Opportunity has a beta of 0.0483. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Africa Opportunity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Africa Opportunity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Africa Opportunity has an alpha of 0.1925, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Africa Opportunity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Africa Opportunity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Africa Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Africa Opportunity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Africa Opportunity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Africa Opportunity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Africa Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Africa Opportunity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Africa Opportunity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Africa Opportunity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Africa Opportunity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Africa Opportunity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Accion Opportunity Fund Welcomes Prominent Industry Leaders to its Board of Directors - PR Newswire | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Africa Opportunity Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Africa Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Africa Opportunity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Africa Opportunity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 K |
Africa Opportunity Technical Analysis
Africa Opportunity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Africa Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Africa Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Africa Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Africa Opportunity Predictive Forecast Models
Africa Opportunity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Africa Opportunity's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Africa Opportunity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Africa Opportunity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Africa Opportunity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Africa Opportunity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Africa Opportunity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Accion Opportunity Fund Welcomes Prominent Industry Leaders to its Board of Directors - PR Newswire | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Africa Fund
Africa Opportunity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Africa Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Africa with respect to the benefits of owning Africa Opportunity security.
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