Amper SA (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

AMP Stock  EUR 0.11  0.01  10.00%   
Amper SA's future price is the expected price of Amper SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amper SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amper SA Backtesting, Amper SA Valuation, Amper SA Correlation, Amper SA Hype Analysis, Amper SA Volatility, Amper SA History as well as Amper SA Performance.
  
Please specify Amper SA's target price for which you would like Amper SA odds to be computed.

Amper SA Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of Amper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amper SA to drop to € 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Amper SA probability density function shows the probability of Amper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amper SA price to stay between € 0.00  and its current price of €0.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amper SA has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amper SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amper SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amper SA has an alpha of 0.3417, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amper SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amper SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amper SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.114.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.094.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.114.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.110.12
Details

Amper SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amper SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amper SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amper SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amper SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Amper SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amper SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amper SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amper SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amper SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Amper SA has accumulated about 29.23 M in cash with (12.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Amper SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amper SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amper SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Amper SA Technical Analysis

Amper SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amper SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amper SA Predictive Forecast Models

Amper SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amper SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amper SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amper SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amper SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amper SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amper SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Amper SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Amper SA has accumulated about 29.23 M in cash with (12.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Amper Stock

Amper SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amper Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amper with respect to the benefits of owning Amper SA security.