American Films Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 71.89

AMFL Stock  USD 0.11  0.02  22.22%   
American Films' future price is the expected price of American Films instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Films performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Films Backtesting, American Films Valuation, American Films Correlation, American Films Hype Analysis, American Films Volatility, American Films History as well as American Films Performance.
  
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American Films Target Price Odds to finish over 71.89

The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 71.89  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 71.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Films to move over $ 71.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This American Films probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Films price to stay between its current price of $ 0.11  and $ 71.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.91 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Films will likely underperform. Moreover American Films has an alpha of 1.5105, implying that it can generate a 1.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Films Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Films

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Films. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1124.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1124.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Films. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Films' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Films' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Films.

American Films Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Films is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Films' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Films, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Films within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.91
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

American Films Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Films for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Films can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Films is way too risky over 90 days horizon
American Films has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Films appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (813.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
American Films generates negative cash flow from operations

American Films Technical Analysis

American Films' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Films. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Films Predictive Forecast Models

American Films' time-series forecasting models is one of many American Films' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Films' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Films

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Films for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Films help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Films is way too risky over 90 days horizon
American Films has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Films appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (813.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
American Films generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet

American Films financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Films security.