Aeternal Mentis (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.65
| AMEN Stock | 8.55 0.00 0.00% |
Aeternal |
Aeternal Mentis Target Price Odds to finish over 8.65
The tendency of Aeternal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 8.65 or more in 90 days |
| 8.55 | 90 days | 8.65 | about 58.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aeternal Mentis to move over 8.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.6 (This Aeternal Mentis SA probability density function shows the probability of Aeternal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aeternal Mentis SA price to stay between its current price of 8.55 and 8.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aeternal Mentis has a beta of 0.0106. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aeternal Mentis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aeternal Mentis SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aeternal Mentis SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aeternal Mentis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aeternal Mentis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aeternal Mentis SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aeternal Mentis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aeternal Mentis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aeternal Mentis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aeternal Mentis SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aeternal Mentis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Aeternal Mentis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aeternal Mentis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aeternal Mentis SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aeternal Mentis SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Aeternal Mentis Technical Analysis
Aeternal Mentis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aeternal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aeternal Mentis SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aeternal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aeternal Mentis Predictive Forecast Models
Aeternal Mentis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aeternal Mentis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aeternal Mentis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aeternal Mentis SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aeternal Mentis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aeternal Mentis SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aeternal Mentis SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Aeternal Stock
Aeternal Mentis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aeternal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aeternal with respect to the benefits of owning Aeternal Mentis security.