Amata Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.99
| AMATA-R Stock | THB 26.75 4.05 17.84% |
Amata |
Amata Public Target Price Odds to finish below 21.99
The tendency of Amata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.99 or more in 90 days |
| 26.75 | 90 days | 21.99 | about 6.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amata Public to drop to 21.99 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.53 (This Amata Public probability density function shows the probability of Amata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amata Public price to stay between 21.99 and its current price of 26.75 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amata Public has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amata Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amata Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amata Public has an alpha of 0.2907, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amata Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amata Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amata Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amata Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amata Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amata Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amata Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amata Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Amata Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amata Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amata Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Amata Public Technical Analysis
Amata Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amata Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amata Public Predictive Forecast Models
Amata Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amata Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amata Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Amata Public in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Amata Public's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Amata Public options trading.
Additional Tools for Amata Stock Analysis
When running Amata Public's price analysis, check to measure Amata Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amata Public is operating at the current time. Most of Amata Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amata Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amata Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amata Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.