Amata Public Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

AMATA-R Stock  THB 26.25  0.50  1.94%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amata Public on the next trading day is expected to be 24.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84. Amata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Amata Public is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Amata Public 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amata Public on the next trading day is expected to be 24.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amata Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amata Public Stock Forecast Pattern

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Amata Public Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amata Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amata Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.62 and 26.08, respectively. We have considered Amata Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.25
24.35
Expected Value
26.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amata Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amata Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.5534
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1024
MADMean absolute deviation0.1024
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0039
SAESum of the absolute errors5.8375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Amata Public. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Amata Public and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Amata Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amata Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0225.7527.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1828.9930.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.4722.8724.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amata Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amata Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amata Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Amata Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Amata Public

For every potential investor in Amata, whether a beginner or expert, Amata Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amata Public's price trends.

Amata Public Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amata Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amata Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amata Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amata Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amata Public's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amata Public's current price.

Amata Public Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amata Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amata Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amata Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amata Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amata Public Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amata Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amata Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Amata Stock Analysis

When running Amata Public's price analysis, check to measure Amata Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amata Public is operating at the current time. Most of Amata Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amata Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amata Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amata Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.