Les Hotels (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 57.5
| ALLHB Stock | EUR 73.50 1.50 2.08% |
Les |
Les Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 57.5
The tendency of Les Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 57.50 in 90 days |
| 73.50 | 90 days | 57.50 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Les Hotels to stay above € 57.50 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Les Hotels Bav probability density function shows the probability of Les Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Les Hotels Bav price to stay between € 57.50 and its current price of €73.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Les Hotels has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Les Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Les Hotels Bav will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Les Hotels Bav has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Les Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Les Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Les Hotels Bav. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Les Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Les Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Les Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Les Hotels Bav, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Les Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Les Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Les Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Les Hotels Bav can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Les Hotels Bav generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Les Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Les Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Les Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Les Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.9 M |
Les Hotels Technical Analysis
Les Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Les Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Les Hotels Bav. In general, you should focus on analyzing Les Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Les Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Les Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Les Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Les Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Les Hotels Bav
Checking the ongoing alerts about Les Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Les Hotels Bav help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Les Hotels Bav generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Les Stock Analysis
When running Les Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Les Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Les Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Les Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Les Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Les Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Les Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.