Glob Bioenergi (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.24
| ALGBE Stock | EUR 0.87 0.04 4.82% |
Glob |
Glob Bioenergi Target Price Odds to finish over 38.24
The tendency of Glob Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 38.24 or more in 90 days |
| 0.87 | 90 days | 38.24 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Glob Bioenergi to move over € 38.24 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Glob Bioenergi probability density function shows the probability of Glob Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Glob Bioenergi price to stay between its current price of € 0.87 and € 38.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Glob Bioenergi has a beta of -0.0433. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Glob Bioenergi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Glob Bioenergi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Glob Bioenergi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Glob Bioenergi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Glob Bioenergi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glob Bioenergi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glob Bioenergi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Glob Bioenergi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Glob Bioenergi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Glob Bioenergi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Glob Bioenergi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Glob Bioenergi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Glob Bioenergi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Glob Bioenergi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Glob Bioenergi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Glob Bioenergi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Glob Bioenergi has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Glob Bioenergi has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Glob Bioenergi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 100.94 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.32 M). | |
| Glob Bioenergi has accumulated about 146.65 K in cash with (11.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Glob Bioenergi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Glob Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Glob Bioenergi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glob Bioenergi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.1 M |
Glob Bioenergi Technical Analysis
Glob Bioenergi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Glob Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Glob Bioenergi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Glob Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Glob Bioenergi Predictive Forecast Models
Glob Bioenergi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Glob Bioenergi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Glob Bioenergi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Glob Bioenergi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Glob Bioenergi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Glob Bioenergi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Glob Bioenergi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Glob Bioenergi has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Glob Bioenergi has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Glob Bioenergi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 100.94 K. Net Loss for the year was (11.77 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.32 M). | |
| Glob Bioenergi has accumulated about 146.65 K in cash with (11.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.12, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Glob Stock Analysis
When running Glob Bioenergi's price analysis, check to measure Glob Bioenergi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Glob Bioenergi is operating at the current time. Most of Glob Bioenergi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Glob Bioenergi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Glob Bioenergi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Glob Bioenergi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.