Ecoslops (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03

ALESA Stock  EUR 0.74  0.05  7.25%   
Ecoslops' future price is the expected price of Ecoslops instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ecoslops SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ecoslops Backtesting, Ecoslops Valuation, Ecoslops Correlation, Ecoslops Hype Analysis, Ecoslops Volatility, Ecoslops History as well as Ecoslops Performance.
  
Please specify Ecoslops' target price for which you would like Ecoslops odds to be computed.

Ecoslops Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03

The tendency of Ecoslops Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.74 90 days 0.03 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecoslops to drop to € 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ecoslops SA probability density function shows the probability of Ecoslops Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ecoslops SA price to stay between € 0.03  and its current price of €0.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ecoslops has a beta of 0.0181. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ecoslops average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ecoslops SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ecoslops SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ecoslops Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ecoslops

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecoslops SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.744.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.634.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.714.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.690.730.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecoslops. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecoslops' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecoslops' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ecoslops SA.

Ecoslops Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecoslops is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecoslops' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecoslops SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecoslops within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ecoslops Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecoslops for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecoslops SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecoslops SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecoslops SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecoslops SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ecoslops SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 12.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.54 M.
Ecoslops SA has accumulated about 6.34 M in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ecoslops Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecoslops Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecoslops' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecoslops' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.3 M

Ecoslops Technical Analysis

Ecoslops' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecoslops Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecoslops SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecoslops Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ecoslops Predictive Forecast Models

Ecoslops' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecoslops' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ecoslops' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ecoslops SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecoslops for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecoslops SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecoslops SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecoslops SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecoslops SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ecoslops SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 12.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.54 M.
Ecoslops SA has accumulated about 6.34 M in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Ecoslops Stock Analysis

When running Ecoslops' price analysis, check to measure Ecoslops' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecoslops is operating at the current time. Most of Ecoslops' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecoslops' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecoslops' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecoslops to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.