Afyren SAS (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.05
| ALAFY Stock | 2.08 0.05 2.35% |
Afyren |
Afyren SAS Target Price Odds to finish below 2.05
The tendency of Afyren Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.05 or more in 90 days |
| 2.08 | 90 days | 2.05 | roughly 2.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Afyren SAS to drop to 2.05 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.26 (This Afyren SAS probability density function shows the probability of Afyren Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Afyren SAS price to stay between 2.05 and its current price of 2.08 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Afyren SAS has a beta of 0.0919. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Afyren SAS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Afyren SAS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Afyren SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Afyren SAS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Afyren SAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Afyren SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Afyren SAS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Afyren SAS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Afyren SAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Afyren SAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Afyren SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Afyren SAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Afyren SAS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Afyren SAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Afyren SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Afyren SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Afyren SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 M. | |
| Afyren SAS has accumulated about 30.02 M in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Afyren SAS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Afyren Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Afyren SAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afyren SAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.4 M |
Afyren SAS Technical Analysis
Afyren SAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Afyren Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Afyren SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Afyren Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Afyren SAS Predictive Forecast Models
Afyren SAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Afyren SAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Afyren SAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Afyren SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Afyren SAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Afyren SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Afyren SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Afyren SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.45 M. | |
| Afyren SAS has accumulated about 30.02 M in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for Afyren Stock Analysis
When running Afyren SAS's price analysis, check to measure Afyren SAS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afyren SAS is operating at the current time. Most of Afyren SAS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afyren SAS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afyren SAS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afyren SAS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.