Aksa Enerji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.94
| AKSEN Stock | TRY 35.96 0.62 1.69% |
Aksa |
Aksa Enerji Target Price Odds to finish below 32.94
The tendency of Aksa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 32.94 or more in 90 days |
| 35.96 | 90 days | 32.94 | about 9.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aksa Enerji to drop to 32.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.37 (This Aksa Enerji Uretim probability density function shows the probability of Aksa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aksa Enerji Uretim price to stay between 32.94 and its current price of 35.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aksa Enerji has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aksa Enerji average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aksa Enerji Uretim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aksa Enerji Uretim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aksa Enerji Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aksa Enerji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aksa Enerji Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aksa Enerji Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aksa Enerji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aksa Enerji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aksa Enerji Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aksa Enerji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Aksa Enerji Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aksa Enerji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aksa Enerji Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aksa Enerji Uretim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aksa Enerji Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aksa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aksa Enerji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aksa Enerji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Aksa Enerji Technical Analysis
Aksa Enerji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aksa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aksa Enerji Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aksa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aksa Enerji Predictive Forecast Models
Aksa Enerji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aksa Enerji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aksa Enerji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aksa Enerji Uretim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aksa Enerji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aksa Enerji Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aksa Enerji Uretim generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Aksa Stock
Aksa Enerji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aksa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aksa with respect to the benefits of owning Aksa Enerji security.