Aker Solutions Asa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.68
| AKRYY Stock | USD 10.00 3.82 61.81% |
Aker |
Aker Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 5.68
The tendency of Aker Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.68 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 5.68 | about 48.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aker Solutions to drop to $ 5.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.15 (This Aker Solutions ASA probability density function shows the probability of Aker Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aker Solutions ASA price to stay between $ 5.68 and its current price of $10.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aker Solutions ASA has a beta of -1.76. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Aker Solutions ASA are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Aker Solutions is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Aker Solutions ASA has an alpha of 1.5256, implying that it can generate a 1.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aker Solutions Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Aker Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker Solutions ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aker Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aker Solutions Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aker Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aker Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aker Solutions ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aker Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Aker Solutions Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aker Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aker Solutions ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aker Solutions ASA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aker Solutions ASA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aker Solutions ASA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 953 M. Net Loss for the year was (221 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.64 B. | |
| Aker Solutions ASA has accumulated about 236 M in cash with (96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HLX Stock Drops 5 percent Amid Industry Decline - GuruFocus.com |
Aker Solutions Technical Analysis
Aker Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aker Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aker Solutions ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aker Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aker Solutions Predictive Forecast Models
Aker Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aker Solutions' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aker Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aker Solutions ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aker Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aker Solutions ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aker Solutions ASA is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aker Solutions ASA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aker Solutions ASA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 953 M. Net Loss for the year was (221 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.64 B. | |
| Aker Solutions ASA has accumulated about 236 M in cash with (96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: HLX Stock Drops 5 percent Amid Industry Decline - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Aker Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Aker Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Aker Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aker Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Aker Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aker Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aker Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aker Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.