AFC Ajax (Netherlands) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.99
| AJAX Stock | EUR 10.00 0.02 0.20% |
AFC |
AFC Ajax Target Price Odds to finish below 9.99
The tendency of AFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.99 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 9.99 | about 18.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFC Ajax to drop to € 9.99 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.6 (This AFC Ajax NV probability density function shows the probability of AFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFC Ajax NV price to stay between € 9.99 and its current price of €10.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFC Ajax NV has a beta of -0.0546. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AFC Ajax are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AFC Ajax NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AFC Ajax NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AFC Ajax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFC Ajax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFC Ajax NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFC Ajax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFC Ajax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFC Ajax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFC Ajax NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFC Ajax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
AFC Ajax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFC Ajax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFC Ajax NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFC Ajax NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AFC Ajax NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 184.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 170.28 M. |
AFC Ajax Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFC Ajax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFC Ajax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M |
AFC Ajax Technical Analysis
AFC Ajax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFC Ajax NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFC Ajax Predictive Forecast Models
AFC Ajax's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFC Ajax's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFC Ajax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFC Ajax NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFC Ajax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFC Ajax NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFC Ajax NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AFC Ajax NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 184.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 170.28 M. |
Additional Tools for AFC Stock Analysis
When running AFC Ajax's price analysis, check to measure AFC Ajax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AFC Ajax is operating at the current time. Most of AFC Ajax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AFC Ajax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AFC Ajax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AFC Ajax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.