AJ Advance (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.60
| AJA Stock | THB 0.15 0.01 6.25% |
AJA |
AJ Advance Target Price Odds to finish over 4.60
The tendency of AJA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.60 or more in 90 days |
| 0.15 | 90 days | 4.60 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AJ Advance to move over 4.60 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AJ Advance Technology probability density function shows the probability of AJA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AJ Advance Technology price to stay between its current price of 0.15 and 4.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AJ Advance Technology has a beta of -0.65. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AJ Advance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AJ Advance Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AJ Advance Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AJ Advance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AJ Advance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AJ Advance Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AJ Advance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AJ Advance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AJ Advance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AJ Advance Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AJ Advance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
AJ Advance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AJ Advance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AJ Advance Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AJ Advance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AJ Advance has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AJ Advance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 292.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (152.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40 M. | |
| AJ Advance Technology has accumulated about 376.52 M in cash with (55.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AJ Advance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AJA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AJ Advance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AJ Advance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 B |
AJ Advance Technical Analysis
AJ Advance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AJA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AJ Advance Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing AJA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AJ Advance Predictive Forecast Models
AJ Advance's time-series forecasting models is one of many AJ Advance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AJ Advance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AJ Advance Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about AJ Advance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AJ Advance Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AJ Advance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AJ Advance has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AJ Advance has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 292.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (152.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40 M. | |
| AJ Advance Technology has accumulated about 376.52 M in cash with (55.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AJA Stock
AJ Advance financial ratios help investors to determine whether AJA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AJA with respect to the benefits of owning AJ Advance security.