Advanced Info (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.60

AISF Stock   7.60  0.10  1.30%   
Advanced Info's future price is the expected price of Advanced Info instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Advanced Info Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Advanced Info Backtesting, Advanced Info Valuation, Advanced Info Correlation, Advanced Info Hype Analysis, Advanced Info Volatility, Advanced Info History as well as Advanced Info Performance.
  
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Advanced Info Target Price Odds to finish over 7.60

The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.60 90 days 7.60 
about 41.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Info to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.52 (This Advanced Info Service probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Advanced Info Service has a beta of -0.0571. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Advanced Info are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Advanced Info Service is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Advanced Info Service has an alpha of 0.1231, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Advanced Info Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Advanced Info

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Info Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.647.609.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.647.609.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.827.789.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.457.717.97
Details

Advanced Info Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Info is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Info's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Info Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Info within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Advanced Info Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Info's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Info's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Dividends Paid22.9 B
Short Long Term Debt20.5 B

Advanced Info Technical Analysis

Advanced Info's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Info Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Advanced Info Predictive Forecast Models

Advanced Info's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Info's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Info's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Advanced Info in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Advanced Info's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Advanced Info options trading.

Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Info's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Info's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Info is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Info's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Info's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Info's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Info to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.