AIM Commercial (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.45
| AIMCG Stock | 3.08 0.04 1.32% |
AIM |
AIM Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over 4.45
The tendency of AIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.45 or more in 90 days |
| 3.08 | 90 days | 4.45 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIM Commercial to move over 4.45 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AIM Commercial Growth probability density function shows the probability of AIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIM Commercial Growth price to stay between its current price of 3.08 and 4.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AIM Commercial has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AIM Commercial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AIM Commercial Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AIM Commercial Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AIM Commercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIM Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIM Commercial Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIM Commercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIM Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIM Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIM Commercial Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIM Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
AIM Commercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIM Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIM Commercial Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIM Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 360.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 321.86 M. | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AIM Commercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIM Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIM Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 288 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 56.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 40 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.48 | |
| Shares Float | 275.9 M |
AIM Commercial Technical Analysis
AIM Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIM Commercial Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIM Commercial Predictive Forecast Models
AIM Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIM Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIM Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIM Commercial Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIM Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIM Commercial Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIM Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 360.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 321.86 M. | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AIM Stock
AIM Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIM with respect to the benefits of owning AIM Commercial security.