Aristotle Growth Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.0
| AIGGX Fund | 15.30 0.18 1.19% |
Aristotle |
Aristotle Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 16.0
The tendency of Aristotle Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 16.00 after 90 days |
| 15.30 | 90 days | 16.00 | about 69.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aristotle Growth to stay under 16.00 after 90 days from now is about 69.97 (This Aristotle Growth Equity probability density function shows the probability of Aristotle Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aristotle Growth Equity price to stay between its current price of 15.30 and 16.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aristotle Growth has a beta of 0.93. This suggests Aristotle Growth Equity market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aristotle Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Aristotle Growth Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aristotle Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aristotle Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aristotle Growth Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aristotle Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aristotle Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aristotle Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aristotle Growth Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aristotle Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0092 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0075 |
Aristotle Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aristotle Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aristotle Growth Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aristotle Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 96.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Aristotle Growth Technical Analysis
Aristotle Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aristotle Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aristotle Growth Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aristotle Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aristotle Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Aristotle Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aristotle Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aristotle Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aristotle Growth Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aristotle Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aristotle Growth Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aristotle Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 96.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Aristotle Mutual Fund
Aristotle Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aristotle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aristotle with respect to the benefits of owning Aristotle Growth security.
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