Adecco Group Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 15.42

AHEXY Stock  USD 13.58  0.31  2.34%   
Adecco's future price is the expected price of Adecco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Adecco Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Adecco Backtesting, Adecco Valuation, Adecco Correlation, Adecco Hype Analysis, Adecco Volatility, Adecco History as well as Adecco Performance.
  
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Adecco Target Price Odds to finish over 15.42

The tendency of Adecco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.42  or more in 90 days
 13.58 90 days 15.42 
about 46.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adecco to move over $ 15.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 46.27 (This Adecco Group probability density function shows the probability of Adecco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adecco Group price to stay between its current price of $ 13.58  and $ 15.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Adecco has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adecco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adecco Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adecco Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Adecco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adecco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adecco Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adecco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7713.5815.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7311.5414.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5214.3316.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9113.2813.66
Details

Adecco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adecco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adecco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adecco Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adecco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Adecco Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adecco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adecco Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adecco Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Adecco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adecco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adecco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adecco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding324 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Adecco Technical Analysis

Adecco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adecco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adecco Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adecco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Adecco Predictive Forecast Models

Adecco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adecco's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adecco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Adecco Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adecco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adecco Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adecco Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from zacks.com: KornFerry Q2 Earnings Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Additional Tools for Adecco Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Adecco's price analysis, check to measure Adecco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adecco is operating at the current time. Most of Adecco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adecco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adecco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adecco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.