Agronomics Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0518
| AGNMF Stock | USD 0.05 0 9.09% |
Agronomics |
Agronomics Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0518
The tendency of Agronomics Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 68.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agronomics to move over $ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.99 (This Agronomics Limited probability density function shows the probability of Agronomics Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agronomics Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05 and $ 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Agronomics Limited has a beta of -0.59. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Agronomics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Agronomics Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Agronomics Limited has an alpha of 0.0196, implying that it can generate a 0.0196 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Agronomics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agronomics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agronomics Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agronomics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agronomics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agronomics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agronomics Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agronomics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0016 |
Agronomics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agronomics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agronomics Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agronomics Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agronomics Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agronomics Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agronomics Limited has accumulated about 106.16 M in cash with (42.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Agronomics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agronomics Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agronomics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agronomics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 969.3 M |
Agronomics Technical Analysis
Agronomics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agronomics Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agronomics Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agronomics Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agronomics Predictive Forecast Models
Agronomics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Agronomics' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agronomics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agronomics Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agronomics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agronomics Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agronomics Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agronomics Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Agronomics Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Agronomics Limited has accumulated about 106.16 M in cash with (42.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Agronomics Pink Sheet
Agronomics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agronomics Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agronomics with respect to the benefits of owning Agronomics security.