American Eagle (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.29
| AFG Stock | EUR 16.10 0.30 1.83% |
American |
American Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 16.29
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 16.29 or more in 90 days |
| 16.10 | 90 days | 16.29 | about 85.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Eagle to move over € 16.29 or more in 90 days from now is about 85.71 (This American Eagle Outfitters probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Eagle Outfitters price to stay between its current price of € 16.10 and € 16.29 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Eagle Outfitters has a beta of -0.23. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Eagle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Eagle Outfitters is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Eagle Outfitters has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. American Eagle Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Eagle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Eagle Outfitters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Eagle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Eagle Outfitters, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
American Eagle Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Eagle Outfitters can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Eagle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Eagle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
American Eagle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Eagle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Eagle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.7 M |
American Eagle Technical Analysis
American Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Eagle Outfitters. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Eagle Predictive Forecast Models
American Eagle's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Eagle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Eagle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Eagle Outfitters
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Eagle Outfitters help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Eagle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Eagle has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in American Stock
When determining whether American Eagle Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Eagle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Eagle Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Eagle Outfitters Stock:Check out American Eagle Backtesting, American Eagle Valuation, American Eagle Correlation, American Eagle Hype Analysis, American Eagle Volatility, American Eagle History as well as American Eagle Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.