Acadian Timber Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.90
| ADN Stock | CAD 17.99 0.01 0.06% |
Acadian |
Acadian Timber Target Price Odds to finish over 16.90
The tendency of Acadian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 16.90 in 90 days |
| 17.99 | 90 days | 16.90 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acadian Timber to stay above C$ 16.90 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Acadian Timber Corp probability density function shows the probability of Acadian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acadian Timber Corp price to stay between C$ 16.90 and its current price of C$17.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acadian Timber has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acadian Timber average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acadian Timber Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acadian Timber Corp has an alpha of 0.0444, implying that it can generate a 0.0444 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Acadian Timber Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acadian Timber
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acadian Timber Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Acadian Timber Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acadian Timber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acadian Timber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acadian Timber Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acadian Timber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Acadian Timber Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acadian Timber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acadian Timber Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Acadian Timber Stock Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Acadian Timber Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acadian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acadian Timber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadian Timber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Acadian Timber Technical Analysis
Acadian Timber's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acadian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acadian Timber Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acadian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acadian Timber Predictive Forecast Models
Acadian Timber's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acadian Timber's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acadian Timber's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acadian Timber Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acadian Timber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acadian Timber Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Acadian Timber Stock Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Acadian Stock
Acadian Timber financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acadian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acadian with respect to the benefits of owning Acadian Timber security.