Archer Aviation Wt Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.36
| ACHR-WT Stock | 1.95 0.25 11.36% |
Archer |
Archer Aviation Target Price Odds to finish below 3.36
The tendency of Archer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.36 after 90 days |
| 1.95 | 90 days | 3.36 | about 79.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archer Aviation to stay under 3.36 after 90 days from now is about 79.36 (This Archer Aviation WT probability density function shows the probability of Archer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archer Aviation WT price to stay between its current price of 1.95 and 3.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Archer Aviation WT has a beta of -3.01. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Archer Aviation WT are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Archer Aviation is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Archer Aviation WT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Archer Aviation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Archer Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archer Aviation WT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archer Aviation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archer Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archer Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archer Aviation WT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archer Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Archer Aviation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archer Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archer Aviation WT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Archer Aviation WT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archer Aviation WT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Archer Aviation WT may become a speculative penny stock |
Archer Aviation Technical Analysis
Archer Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archer Aviation WT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Archer Aviation Predictive Forecast Models
Archer Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archer Aviation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archer Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Archer Aviation WT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Archer Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archer Aviation WT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Archer Aviation WT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archer Aviation WT has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Archer Aviation WT may become a speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for Archer Stock Analysis
When running Archer Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.