Focused Dynamic Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 37.41
| ACFSX Fund | USD 73.11 0.30 0.41% |
Focused |
Focused Dynamic Target Price Odds to finish below 37.41
The tendency of Focused Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 37.41 or more in 90 days |
| 73.11 | 90 days | 37.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Focused Dynamic to drop to $ 37.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Focused Dynamic Growth probability density function shows the probability of Focused Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Focused Dynamic Growth price to stay between $ 37.41 and its current price of $73.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Focused Dynamic has a beta of 0.93. This suggests Focused Dynamic Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Focused Dynamic is expected to follow. Additionally Focused Dynamic Growth has an alpha of 0.1997, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Focused Dynamic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Focused Dynamic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Focused Dynamic Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Focused Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Focused Dynamic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Focused Dynamic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Focused Dynamic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Focused Dynamic Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Focused Dynamic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Focused Dynamic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Focused Dynamic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Focused Dynamic Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 98.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Focused Dynamic Technical Analysis
Focused Dynamic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Focused Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Focused Dynamic Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Focused Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Focused Dynamic Predictive Forecast Models
Focused Dynamic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Focused Dynamic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Focused Dynamic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Focused Dynamic Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Focused Dynamic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Focused Dynamic Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 98.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Focused Mutual Fund
Focused Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Focused Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Focused with respect to the benefits of owning Focused Dynamic security.
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format |