Atok Big (Philippines) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.45

AB Stock   4.70  0.20  4.08%   
Atok Big's future price is the expected price of Atok Big instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atok Big Wedge performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atok Big Backtesting, Atok Big Valuation, Atok Big Correlation, Atok Big Hype Analysis, Atok Big Volatility, Atok Big History as well as Atok Big Performance.
  
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Atok Big Target Price Odds to finish below 4.45

The tendency of Atok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  4.45  or more in 90 days
 4.70 90 days 4.45 
about 69.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atok Big to drop to  4.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.55 (This Atok Big Wedge probability density function shows the probability of Atok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atok Big Wedge price to stay between  4.45  and its current price of 4.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atok Big Wedge has a beta of -0.0191. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atok Big are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atok Big Wedge is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atok Big Wedge has an alpha of 0.2749, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atok Big Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atok Big

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atok Big Wedge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.254.9010.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.829.21
Details

Atok Big Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atok Big is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atok Big's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atok Big Wedge, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atok Big within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Atok Big Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atok Big for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atok Big Wedge can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atok Big Wedge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Atok Big Wedge has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (29.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atok Big Wedge has accumulated about 0 in cash with (3.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Atok Big Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atok Big's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atok Big's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments93.8 M

Atok Big Technical Analysis

Atok Big's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atok Big Wedge. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atok Big Predictive Forecast Models

Atok Big's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atok Big's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atok Big's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atok Big Wedge

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atok Big for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atok Big Wedge help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atok Big Wedge had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Atok Big Wedge has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (29.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Atok Big Wedge has accumulated about 0 in cash with (3.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Atok Stock

Atok Big financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atok with respect to the benefits of owning Atok Big security.