ASSET BANK (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 91.72
| AAGR11 Fund | 96.82 6.81 7.57% |
ASSET |
ASSET BANK Target Price Odds to finish below 91.72
The tendency of ASSET Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 91.72 or more in 90 days |
| 96.82 | 90 days | 91.72 | about 9.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASSET BANK to drop to 91.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.4 (This ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS probability density function shows the probability of ASSET Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS price to stay between 91.72 and its current price of 96.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASSET BANK has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ASSET BANK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS has an alpha of 0.0104, implying that it can generate a 0.0104 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ASSET BANK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ASSET BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ASSET BANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASSET BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASSET BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASSET BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
ASSET BANK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASSET BANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ASSET BANK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
ASSET BANK Technical Analysis
ASSET BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASSET Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASSET Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ASSET BANK Predictive Forecast Models
ASSET BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASSET BANK's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASSET BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS
Checking the ongoing alerts about ASSET BANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASSET BANK AGRONEGCIOS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ASSET BANK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
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