Alan Allman (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.52

AAA Stock  EUR 5.00  0.36  7.76%   
Alan Allman's future price is the expected price of Alan Allman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alan Allman Associates performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alan Allman Backtesting, Alan Allman Valuation, Alan Allman Correlation, Alan Allman Hype Analysis, Alan Allman Volatility, Alan Allman History as well as Alan Allman Performance.
  
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Alan Allman Target Price Odds to finish over 9.52

The tendency of Alan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 9.52  or more in 90 days
 5.00 90 days 9.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alan Allman to move over € 9.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alan Allman Associates probability density function shows the probability of Alan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alan Allman Associates price to stay between its current price of € 5.00  and € 9.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alan Allman will likely underperform. Additionally Alan Allman Associates has an alpha of 0.1493, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alan Allman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alan Allman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alan Allman Associates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.255.0010.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.204.009.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.185.6111.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.074.515.94
Details

Alan Allman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alan Allman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alan Allman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alan Allman Associates, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alan Allman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Alan Allman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alan Allman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alan Allman Associates can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alan Allman had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alan Allman Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alan Allman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alan Allman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43 M
Short Long Term Debt15.2 M

Alan Allman Technical Analysis

Alan Allman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alan Allman Associates. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alan Allman Predictive Forecast Models

Alan Allman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alan Allman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alan Allman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alan Allman Associates

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alan Allman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alan Allman Associates help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alan Allman had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alan Stock

Alan Allman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alan with respect to the benefits of owning Alan Allman security.