Fiskars Oyj (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.76
| A8X Stock | EUR 14.04 0.12 0.85% |
Fiskars |
Fiskars Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 14.76
The tendency of Fiskars Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 14.76 after 90 days |
| 14.04 | 90 days | 14.76 | about 44.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fiskars Oyj to stay under € 14.76 after 90 days from now is about 44.62 (This Fiskars Oyj Abp probability density function shows the probability of Fiskars Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fiskars Oyj Abp price to stay between its current price of € 14.04 and € 14.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fiskars Oyj has a beta of 0.0599. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fiskars Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fiskars Oyj Abp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fiskars Oyj Abp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fiskars Oyj Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fiskars Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fiskars Oyj Abp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fiskars Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fiskars Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fiskars Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fiskars Oyj Abp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fiskars Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Fiskars Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fiskars Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fiskars Oyj Abp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fiskars Oyj Abp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fiskars Oyj Abp has accumulated about 480.6 M in cash with (61.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.89. | |
| Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Fiskars Oyj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fiskars Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fiskars Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiskars Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.6 M |
Fiskars Oyj Technical Analysis
Fiskars Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fiskars Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fiskars Oyj Abp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fiskars Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fiskars Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
Fiskars Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fiskars Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fiskars Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fiskars Oyj Abp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fiskars Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fiskars Oyj Abp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fiskars Oyj Abp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fiskars Oyj Abp has accumulated about 480.6 M in cash with (61.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.89. | |
| Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Fiskars Stock
Fiskars Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fiskars Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fiskars with respect to the benefits of owning Fiskars Oyj security.