Areeya Property (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.69
| A Stock | 4.90 0.08 1.61% |
Areeya |
Areeya Property Target Price Odds to finish below 3.69
The tendency of Areeya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.69 or more in 90 days |
| 4.90 | 90 days | 3.69 | roughly 2.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Areeya Property to drop to 3.69 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.35 (This Areeya Property Public probability density function shows the probability of Areeya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Areeya Property Public price to stay between 3.69 and its current price of 4.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Areeya Property has a beta of 0.0565. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Areeya Property average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Areeya Property Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Areeya Property Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Areeya Property Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Areeya Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Areeya Property Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Areeya Property Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Areeya Property is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Areeya Property's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Areeya Property Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Areeya Property within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Areeya Property Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Areeya Property for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Areeya Property Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Areeya Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Areeya Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (345.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 662.42 M. | |
| About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Areeya Property Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Areeya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Areeya Property's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Areeya Property's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 980 M |
Areeya Property Technical Analysis
Areeya Property's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Areeya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Areeya Property Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Areeya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Areeya Property Predictive Forecast Models
Areeya Property's time-series forecasting models is one of many Areeya Property's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Areeya Property's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Areeya Property Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Areeya Property for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Areeya Property Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Areeya Property generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Areeya Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (345.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 662.42 M. | |
| About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Areeya Stock
Areeya Property financial ratios help investors to determine whether Areeya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Areeya with respect to the benefits of owning Areeya Property security.