Meituan (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.05
| 9MD Stock | EUR 19.81 0.57 2.80% |
Meituan |
Meituan Target Price Odds to finish below 14.05
The tendency of Meituan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 14.05 or more in 90 days |
| 19.81 | 90 days | 14.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meituan to drop to € 14.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Meituan probability density function shows the probability of Meituan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meituan price to stay between € 14.05 and its current price of €19.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Meituan has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meituan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meituan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meituan has an alpha of 0.6588, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meituan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meituan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meituan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meituan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meituan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meituan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meituan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meituan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Meituan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meituan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meituan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meituan is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Meituan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meituan has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.47 B. | |
| Meituan has accumulated about 61.25 B in cash with (4.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.41. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Meituan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meituan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meituan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meituan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 B |
Meituan Technical Analysis
Meituan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meituan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meituan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meituan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meituan Predictive Forecast Models
Meituan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meituan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meituan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meituan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meituan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meituan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meituan is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Meituan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Meituan has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (23.54 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.47 B. | |
| Meituan has accumulated about 61.25 B in cash with (4.01 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.41. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Meituan Stock
Meituan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meituan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meituan with respect to the benefits of owning Meituan security.