Dazhong Transportation (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.94
| 900903 Stock | 0.23 0.01 4.55% |
Dazhong |
Dazhong Transportation Target Price Odds to finish over 8.94
The tendency of Dazhong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 8.94 or more in 90 days |
| 0.23 | 90 days | 8.94 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dazhong Transportation to move over 8.94 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Dazhong Transportation Group probability density function shows the probability of Dazhong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dazhong Transportation price to stay between its current price of 0.23 and 8.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dazhong Transportation Group has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dazhong Transportation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dazhong Transportation Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dazhong Transportation Group has an alpha of 0.4141, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dazhong Transportation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dazhong Transportation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dazhong Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dazhong Transportation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dazhong Transportation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dazhong Transportation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dazhong Transportation Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dazhong Transportation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Dazhong Transportation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dazhong Transportation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dazhong Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dazhong Transportation has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investing in Dazhong Transportation a year ago would have delivered you a 167 percent gain - Simply Wall St |
Dazhong Transportation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dazhong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dazhong Transportation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dazhong Transportation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B |
Dazhong Transportation Technical Analysis
Dazhong Transportation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dazhong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dazhong Transportation Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dazhong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dazhong Transportation Predictive Forecast Models
Dazhong Transportation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dazhong Transportation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dazhong Transportation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dazhong Transportation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dazhong Transportation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dazhong Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dazhong Transportation has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investing in Dazhong Transportation a year ago would have delivered you a 167 percent gain - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Dazhong Stock
Dazhong Transportation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dazhong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dazhong with respect to the benefits of owning Dazhong Transportation security.