AUTOHOME INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.13
| 8AHA Stock | EUR 5.90 0.15 2.48% |
AUTOHOME |
AUTOHOME INC Target Price Odds to finish over 5.13
The tendency of AUTOHOME Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 5.13 in 90 days |
| 5.90 | 90 days | 5.13 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AUTOHOME INC to stay above € 5.13 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AUTOHOME INC A probability density function shows the probability of AUTOHOME Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AUTOHOME INC A price to stay between € 5.13 and its current price of €5.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AUTOHOME INC A has a beta of -0.46. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AUTOHOME INC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AUTOHOME INC A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AUTOHOME INC A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AUTOHOME INC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AUTOHOME INC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AUTOHOME INC A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AUTOHOME INC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AUTOHOME INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AUTOHOME INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AUTOHOME INC A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AUTOHOME INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
AUTOHOME INC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AUTOHOME INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AUTOHOME INC A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AUTOHOME INC A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
AUTOHOME INC Technical Analysis
AUTOHOME INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUTOHOME Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AUTOHOME INC A. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUTOHOME Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AUTOHOME INC Predictive Forecast Models
AUTOHOME INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many AUTOHOME INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AUTOHOME INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AUTOHOME INC A
Checking the ongoing alerts about AUTOHOME INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AUTOHOME INC A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AUTOHOME INC A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in AUTOHOME Stock
AUTOHOME INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUTOHOME Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUTOHOME with respect to the benefits of owning AUTOHOME INC security.