QUALIGEN THERNEW (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.6
| 7R9 Stock | EUR 2.63 0.00 0.00% |
QUALIGEN |
QUALIGEN THERNEW Target Price Odds to finish over 2.6
The tendency of QUALIGEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 2.60 in 90 days |
| 2.63 | 90 days | 2.60 | about 74.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QUALIGEN THERNEW to stay above € 2.60 in 90 days from now is about 74.86 (This QUALIGEN THERNEW DL 001 probability density function shows the probability of QUALIGEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QUALIGEN THERNEW price to stay between € 2.60 and its current price of €2.63 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.62 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, QUALIGEN THERNEW will likely underperform. Additionally QUALIGEN THERNEW DL 001 has an alpha of 0.6705, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). QUALIGEN THERNEW Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for QUALIGEN THERNEW
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QUALIGEN THERNEW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.QUALIGEN THERNEW Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QUALIGEN THERNEW is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QUALIGEN THERNEW's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QUALIGEN THERNEW DL 001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QUALIGEN THERNEW within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
QUALIGEN THERNEW Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QUALIGEN THERNEW for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QUALIGEN THERNEW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| QUALIGEN THERNEW is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| QUALIGEN THERNEW appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
QUALIGEN THERNEW Technical Analysis
QUALIGEN THERNEW's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUALIGEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QUALIGEN THERNEW DL 001. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUALIGEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
QUALIGEN THERNEW Predictive Forecast Models
QUALIGEN THERNEW's time-series forecasting models is one of many QUALIGEN THERNEW's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QUALIGEN THERNEW's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about QUALIGEN THERNEW
Checking the ongoing alerts about QUALIGEN THERNEW for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QUALIGEN THERNEW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| QUALIGEN THERNEW is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| QUALIGEN THERNEW appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in QUALIGEN Stock
QUALIGEN THERNEW financial ratios help investors to determine whether QUALIGEN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QUALIGEN with respect to the benefits of owning QUALIGEN THERNEW security.