SILEON AB (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| 7PN1 Stock | EUR 0.52 0.01 1.96% |
SILEON |
SILEON AB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of SILEON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.52 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 21.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SILEON AB to drop to € 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.08 (This SILEON AB ON probability density function shows the probability of SILEON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SILEON AB ON price to stay between € 0.05 and its current price of €0.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SILEON AB will likely underperform. In addition to that SILEON AB ON has an alpha of 2511.4757, implying that it can generate a 2511.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SILEON AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SILEON AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SILEON AB ON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SILEON AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SILEON AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SILEON AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SILEON AB ON, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SILEON AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2,511 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 95.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.36 |
SILEON AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SILEON AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SILEON AB ON can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SILEON AB ON is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SILEON AB ON has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SILEON AB ON appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SILEON is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SILEON AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SILEON AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SILEON AB ON sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SILEON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SILEON AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
SILEON AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SILEON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SILEON AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SILEON AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 30.1 M |
SILEON AB Technical Analysis
SILEON AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SILEON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SILEON AB ON. In general, you should focus on analyzing SILEON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SILEON AB Predictive Forecast Models
SILEON AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many SILEON AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SILEON AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SILEON AB ON
Checking the ongoing alerts about SILEON AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SILEON AB ON help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SILEON AB ON is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| SILEON AB ON has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SILEON AB ON appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| SILEON is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SILEON AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SILEON AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SILEON AB ON sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SILEON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SILEON AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in SILEON Stock
SILEON AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether SILEON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SILEON with respect to the benefits of owning SILEON AB security.