FTC SOLAR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.67

6YK Stock  EUR 2.70  0.00  0.00%   
FTC SOLAR's future price is the expected price of FTC SOLAR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FTC SOLAR INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FTC SOLAR Backtesting, FTC SOLAR Valuation, FTC SOLAR Correlation, FTC SOLAR Hype Analysis, FTC SOLAR Volatility, FTC SOLAR History as well as FTC SOLAR Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in FTC Stock please use our How to Invest in FTC SOLAR guide.
  
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FTC SOLAR Target Price Odds to finish over 2.67

The tendency of FTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.67  in 90 days
 2.70 90 days 2.67 
about 90.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FTC SOLAR to stay above € 2.67  in 90 days from now is about 90.29 (This FTC SOLAR INC probability density function shows the probability of FTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FTC SOLAR INC price to stay between € 2.67  and its current price of €2.7 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FTC SOLAR has a beta of 0.87. This suggests FTC SOLAR INC market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FTC SOLAR is expected to follow. Additionally FTC SOLAR INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FTC SOLAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FTC SOLAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTC SOLAR INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.7010.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.5910.08
Details

FTC SOLAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FTC SOLAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FTC SOLAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FTC SOLAR INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FTC SOLAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

FTC SOLAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FTC SOLAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FTC SOLAR INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FTC SOLAR INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FTC SOLAR INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FTC SOLAR INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

FTC SOLAR Technical Analysis

FTC SOLAR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FTC SOLAR INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing FTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FTC SOLAR Predictive Forecast Models

FTC SOLAR's time-series forecasting models is one of many FTC SOLAR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FTC SOLAR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FTC SOLAR INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about FTC SOLAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FTC SOLAR INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FTC SOLAR INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FTC SOLAR INC has high historical volatility and very poor performance
FTC SOLAR INC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in FTC Stock

FTC SOLAR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FTC with respect to the benefits of owning FTC SOLAR security.